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基于PSO-WRF的固态断路器故障电流风险预判方法研究

A Study on a PSO-WRF-Based Method for Predicting the Risk of Fault Currents in Solid-State Circuit Breakers

  • 摘要: 本文针对直流固态断路器故障电流没有自然过零点一旦判断不及时故障电流会迅速升高并威胁设备安全的问题,提出一种改进的机器学习预判方法。研究通过仿真构建正常运行、启动冲击、负载突加、持续过载和短路等多类工况数据,并结合电流变化、波动和热积累信息进行风险识别。仿真实验结果表明,该方法的风险识别召回率达到0.9834,漏判率降至0.0166,优于对比方法。说明该方法可在不削弱硬件快速保护的前提下,为固态断路器提供提前预警和辅助决策。

     

    Abstract: This paper addresses the issue that fault currents in DC solid-state circuit breakers do not naturally pass through zero; if a fault is not detected in a timely manner, the fault current can rise rapidly and threaten equipment safety. To address this, an improved machine learning-based predictive method is proposed. The study uses simulation to generate data for various operating conditions, including normal operation, inrush current, sudden load increase, sustained overload, and short circuits, and combines information on current changes, fluctuations, and thermal accumulation to identify risks. Simulation results demonstrate that this method achieves a risk identification recall rate of 0.9834 and reduces the false negative rate to 0.0166, outperforming the comparison method. This indicates that the method can provide early warning and decision support for solid-state circuit breakers without compromising the rapid protection capabilities of the hardware.

     

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