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基于改进支持向量回归机的中央空调负荷预测

Central air conditioning load forecasting based on improved support vector regression machine algorithm

  • 摘要: 针对中央空调系统时变性,非线性,负荷难以精确预测特点,提出了一种改进的人工蜂群算法优化支持向量回归机,建立中央空调负荷预测模型。首先,改进人工蜂群算法的搜索策略,提升人工蜂群算法的局部搜索能力和开发能力。其次,利用改进后的算法优化支持向量回归机参数,确定出最优参数。最后通过理论分析和实例验证表明,基于改进的支持向量回归机负荷预测模型预测精度更高,提高了数据的有效性与实用性。

     

    Abstract: Focused on the characteristics of time-varying, nonlinear and difficult load forecasting of central air conditioning system,an improved artificial bee colony algorithm is proposed to optimize support vector regression, and a central air-conditioning load forecasting model is established.Firstly,the search strategy of artificial bee colony algorithm is improved to improve the local search ability and development ability.Secondly, the optimized parameters are optimized by using the improved algorithm to optimize the parameters of the support vector regression machine.Finally, theoretical analysis and case validation show that the load forecasting model based on improved support vector regression has higher prediction accuracy and improves the effectiveness and practicability of data.

     

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