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考虑用户响应意愿的V2G配电网承载力评估

Assessment of Distribution Network Hosting Capacity for V2G Considering User Response Willingness

  • 摘要: 电动汽车的大规模接入增加了配电网运行不确定性,V2G(车网互动)技术虽可提供调节资源,但实际可用容量受用户响应意愿行为不确定性的影响。对此,本文提出考虑用户意愿的 V2G 互动配电网承载力评估方法。首先,以SOC、单位净放电收益和出行紧急程度为输入,采用隶属度函数与Mamdani最小-最大推理构建用户动态参与意愿模型,将用户意愿转化为充放电功率修正系数。其次,通过蒙特卡洛抽样生成各区域电动汽车的到达时间、停留时长及初始SOC等出行行为,聚合得到节点级V2G时序负荷,接入配电网进行概率潮流计算。最后,在建立的涵盖安全可靠性、响应灵活性和运行经济性的多维综合评估体系基础上,采用模糊AHP确定指标权重。基于IEEE 33节点仿真表明:所提方法下V2G可用容量随车辆状态与时序需求动态变化,综合承载力指数由固定参与率模式的0.420提升至0.720,网损降低9.7%,电压合规率提升12.2%,验证了该动态约束机制对提升配电网综合承载力的有效性。

     

    Abstract: Large-scale EV integration increases grid uncertainty. V2G offers flexibility, yet its capacity depends on user willingness. This paper proposes a hosting capacity assessment method incorporating user willingness. A dynamic participation model is built via fuzzy inference using SOC, discharge revenue, and travel urgency, and the willingness is converted into power correction coefficients. Monte Carlo simulation generates EV travel behaviors for aggregation into nodal V2G loads, followed by probabilistic power flow. A multi-dimensional evaluation framework (security, flexibility, economy) with fuzzy AHP weights is established. IEEE 33-bus results show that the proposed method enables dynamic V2G capacity variations. Compared with fixed-participation V2G, the comprehensive index rises from 0.420 to 0.720, network loss drops 9.7%, and voltage compliance improves 12.2%, confirming its effectiveness.

     

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