中压配电网短期负荷预测与储能协同调度研究
Research on Short term Load Forecasting and Energy Storage Coordinated Dispatch of Medium Voltage Distribution Network
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摘要: 【】为解决分布式新能源并网背景下中压配电网短期负荷预测精度不足、储能调度与负荷需求匹配度低等问题1,研究构建了短期负荷预测与储能协同调度优化模型,通过设计高效求解算法实现调度策略动态优化。实验部分基于改进IEEE33节点系统开展案例仿真,所构建的预测模型相较于传统模型,平均绝对百分比误差降低3.2%~5.8%,有效降低了负荷预测误差,充分发挥储能的调节作用,显著提升了中压配电网的运行稳定性与经济运行水平。Abstract: In order to solve the problems of insufficient short-term load forecasting accuracy and low matching between energy storage scheduling and load demand in medium voltage distribution networks under the background of distributed new energy grid connection, a short-term load forecasting and energy storage collaborative scheduling optimization model was studied and constructed. An efficient solving algorithm was designed to dynamically optimize the scheduling strategy.The experimental part is based on the case simulation of the improved IEEE33 node system. Compared with the traditional model, the constructed prediction model reduces the average absolute percentage error by 3.2% to 5.8%, effectively reducing the load prediction error, fully utilizing the regulating effect of energy storage, and significantly improving the operational stability and economic operation level of the medium voltage distribution network.
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