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水电机组基于GRU模型的全水头三维及振动区趋势预测

Full Head Three-Dimensional and Vibration Zone Trend Prediction of Hydropower Units Based on GRU Model

  • 摘要: 全水头三维建模与振动区动态划分是保障水电机组长期安全稳定运行的关键技术。传统方法依赖人工试验与经验判断,难以实现动态更新与智能预测。本文结合水电机组运行中积累的海量历史数据,选取水头、有功功率及摆度等监测数据,提出一种基于门控循环单元(GRU)的深度学习预测模型。通过数据预处理、特征提取与序列建模,实现对全水头三维振动分布及振动区的可视化分析与趋势预测。该方式可为水电设备的智能维护、振动告警和操作优化提供数据驱动的决策支持。

     

    Abstract: Full-head 3D modeling and dynamic division of vibration zones are key technologies for ensuring the long-term safe and stable operation of hydroelectric generating units. Traditional methods rely on manual experiments and empirical judgments, making it difficult to achieve dynamic updates and intelligent predictions. Utilizing the massive historical data accumulated during the operation of hydroelectric generating units, this paper selects monitoring data such as water head, active power, and runout to propose a deep learning prediction model based on Gated Recurrent Units (GRU). Through data preprocessing, feature extraction, and sequence modeling, the model achieves visual analysis and trend prediction of three-dimensional vibration distribution and vibration zones across the full water head range. This method can provide data-driven decision support for the intelligent maintenance, vibration warning, and operational optimization of hydroelectric generating units.

     

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