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基于用电曲线量化模型的重大项目进度监测与风险防控研究

Research on Progress Monitoring and Risk Prevention of Major Projects Based on a Quantitative Model of Electricity Consumption Curves

  • 摘要: 重大项目是指符合国家和省产业政策、发展规划和高质量发展导向,投资规模较大,对国民经济和社会高质量发展具有积极影响的项目,针对重大项目建设进度监测中存在的信息滞后问题,本文提出一种基于用电大数据的全生命周期进度量化分析方法,并以某省年度重大项目为实证对象,构建用电曲线分类趋势量化模型,实现了对项目“进度条”的数字化映射。应用结果显示,该方法能够精准识别项目建设的状态,有效研判重点关注项目的实际推进形势,为电力精准服务经济社会高质量发展提供了可量化的数据支撑。

     

    Abstract: Major projects refer to those that align with national and provincial industrial policies, development plans, and high-quality development orientations, involve significant investment, and positively impact the high-quality development of the provincial national economy and society. Addressing the issue of information lag in the monitoring of major project construction progress, this paper proposes a full lifecycle progress quantification analysis method based on electricity consumption big data. Taking annual major projects in a certain province as empirical objects, the study constructs a power consumption curve classification trend quantification model, achieving a digital mapping of the project"s "progress bar". Application results show that this method can accurately identify the status of project construction, effectively assess the actual progress of key projects, and provide quantifiable data support for precise power services to support high-quality economic and social development.

     

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