Abstract:
In the context of new distribution system construction, the low-voltage distribution network, as a crucial interface for integrating distributed renewable energy and electric vehicle charging facilities into the power system, has become increasingly vital. Conventional load forecasting methods are not suitable for low-voltage distribution networks, making it difficult to address the demands of renewable energy integration and sudden load surges, leading to periodic overloading issues in transformer districts. This paper divides the load forecasting scenarios of low-voltage distribution networks into conventional power supply scenarios and various typical special power supply scenarios, analyzes the load characteristics of low-voltage distribution networks, considers the impact of new distributed sources and loads such as photovoltaic systems and charging facilities, proposes saturation and medium-to-short-term load forecasting methods, and provides typical load forecasting cases. These findings hold significant practical importance for guiding the planning and construction of low-voltage distribution networks.