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基于时空图卷积网络的配电网停电风险动态预警方法

Dynamic Early Warning Method for Power Outage Risk in Distribution Network Based on Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Network

  • 摘要: 面对日益复杂的负荷端负荷对配电网运行安全带来的挑战,现有的基于时序或空间单一视角的预警方法,难以全面反映停电风险随配电网络拓扑展开的时空动态特性。为此,提出基于时空图卷积网络(ST-GCN)的配电网停电风险动态预警方法。将配电网建模为时空图,以母线、负荷点等节点和线路、开关等边定义其空间结构,并以SCADA数据、气象数据和历史负荷等多源数据丰富配电网节点的时空动态特征,并同时挖掘空间和时间上的复杂依赖关系。案例结果表明,与纯TCN、CNN-LSTM以及GCN-GRU三种基准方法相比,所提方法具有明显优势。

     

    Abstract: In the face of the increasingly complex challenges posed by loads to the operational safety of distribution networks, the existing early warning methods based on a single temporal or spatial perspective are difficult to comprehensively reflect the spatio-temporal dynamic characteristics of power outage risks as the distribution network topology expands. To this end, a dynamic early warning method for power outage risk in distribution networks based on spatio-temporal graph convolutional network (ST-GCN) is proposed. We model the distribution network as a graph, define its spatial structure with nodes such as busbars and load points, and edges such as lines and switches, and enrich the spatio-temporal dynamic characteristics of its nodes with multi-source data such as SCADA data, meteorological data and historical loads, while simultaneously mining the complex dependencies in space and time. The case results show that, compared with the three benchmark methods, the proposed method has obvious advantages.

     

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