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基于LSTM-GRU-KAN融合模型的电力负荷预测

Power load forecasting based on the LSTM-GRU-KAN fusion model

  • 摘要: 电力负荷预测是电力系统调度和管理的关键任务,为了提升预测精度和稳定性,本文提出了一种基于LSTM-GRU-kan组合模型的电力负荷预测方法。该方法结合了长短时记忆网络(LSTM)和门控循环单元(GRU)的特性,并通过注意力机制(KAN)进一步优化模型性能。在电力负荷数据集上与LSTM、GRU及LSTM-GRU模型进行对比,结果表明,LSTM-GRU-kan模型在多个评估指标(如RMSE、MAE、MAPE)上表现优于传统模型,达到了更高的预测精度。关键词:电力负荷预测;长短时记忆神经网络;门控循环单元;LSTM-GRU-KAN中图分类号: 文献标志码:A

     

    Abstract: Power load forecasting is a key task in the dispatching and management of power systems. To improve the forecasting accuracy and stability, this paper proposes a power load forecasting method based on the LSTM-GRU-kan combined model. This method combines the characteristics of long Short-Term memory networks (LSTM) and gated recurrent units (GRU), and further optimizes the model performance through the attention mechanism (KAN). The LSTM, GRU and LSTM-GRU models were compared on the power load dataset. The results show that the LSTM-GRU-KAN model performs better than the traditional models in multiple evaluation indicators (such as RMSE, MAE, MAPE), achieving higher prediction accuracy.Keywords: Electric load forecasting;LSTM;GRU;LSTM-GRU-KAN

     

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