Abstract:
To address the lack of effective coordination and targeting between pre-disaster early warning and post-disaster repair under extreme natural disasters, a pre- and post-event coordinated assessment method for enhancing distribution network resilience and a targeted repair strategy are proposed. Considering disaster types and meteorological parameters, node failure probabilities are calculated based on a power network truncation probability model. On this basis, failure risk indices are constructed, and node load loss is evaluated using a combination of Monte Carlo simulation and DC power flow analysis. Failure nodes are then prioritized by jointly considering the maximum load loss and economic loss. Subsequently, a coordinated mechanism linking pre-disaster early warning and post-disaster repair is established, and emergency power supply vehicles are optimally allocated to implement targeted repairs. Case studies on the IEEE 33-bus distribution system verify the effectiveness and feasibility of the proposed method.