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离岸浮动能源系统综合影响量化分析方法

Quantitative Analysis Method for Comprehensive Impacts of Offshore Floating Energy Systems

  • 摘要: 离岸浮动式能源系统是支撑海洋开发与利用的关键能源基础设施,鉴于海洋环境的复杂性与不确定性,需综合考量经济、环境、风险与社会多维度影响。本文围绕上述四个维度,构建一套适用于该系统的综合量化分析框架:首先,提出系统经济性与环境影响的评估指标并进行量化分析;其次,结合层次分析法、专家评分法与模糊综合评价法,对系统风险及社会影响进行量化分析;最后,引入熵权法对上述四类影响因素进行综合分析,形成多维因素综合影响量化方法。研究可为离岸浮动式能源系统的规划设计与优化决策提供理论支撑与方法工具。

     

    Abstract: Offshore floating energy systems serve as a critical energy foundation for marine resource exploitation and utilization. Due to the complexity and inherent uncertainties of the marine environment, it is essential to fully account for multi-dimensional impacts covering economic, environmental, risk and social dimensions. Centering on the above four dimensions, this paper develops a comprehensive quantitative analysis framework tailored for such systems. Specifically, assessment indicators are first established to evaluate the system''s economic performance and environmental impact. Subsequently, the Analytic Hierarchy Process, expert scoring method, and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation are integrated to quantify system risks and social influences. Finally, the entropy weight method is employed to synthesize these four categories of influencing factors, thereby forming a quantitative approach for comprehensive impacts of multidimensional factors. This study provides theoretical support and methodological tools for the planning, design, and optimization decision-making of offshore floating energy systems.

     

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