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少样本场景下电动汽车充电负荷预测的特征维度选择研究

A Study on Feature Dimension Selection for EV Charging Load Forecasting Under Few-Shot Scenarios

  • 摘要: 现有充电负荷预测研究普遍默认融合多维度特征能够提升模型精度,但该结论预设训练数据充足,在新部署充电桩数据稀缺的实际场景中未必成立。针对该问题,本文提出两阶段联邦迁移框架,采用FedProx算法与LSTM-SelfAttention模型分别训练单特征与六特征全局模型并迁移至新站点,实现少样本预测。基于实测数据集的实验结果表明:15天少样本下单特征模型RMSE较六特征模型降低27.2%。该结论为新部署充电桩在数据稀缺阶段的特征选择提供了直接工程指导。

     

    Abstract: Existing research on charging load forecasting generally assumes that integrating multi-dimensional features can improve model accuracy, yet this conclusion presupposes sufficient training data and may not hold in practical scenarios where newly deployed charging piles have scarce data. To address this issue, this paper proposes a two-stage federated transfer learning framework. The FedProx algorithm and LSTM-SelfAttention model are adopted to train global models with single feature and six features respectively, which are then transferred to new stations for few-shot prediction. Experimental results based on actual datasets show that, under 15-day few-shot conditions, the single-feature model reduces RMSE by 27.2% compared with the six-feature model. This conclusion provides direct engineering guidance for feature selection of newly deployed charging piles during the data-scarce phase.

     

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