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电缆温度监测传感器位置鲁棒优化模型与优化算法

Robust Optimization of Temperature Probe Positions for Temperature Monitoring of Power CablesCAO Zhenping1,YE Xieping2,QIN Xi1, YANG Shiyou3

  • 摘要: 为充分利用电力电缆,工程中一般应用测温传感器实时监测电缆温度,以在保证电缆线心温度不超过最高安全运行阈值条件下尽可能提升其载流能力。由于受实际条件限制,温度传感器一般不能安装在线心处,只能安装在电缆的表皮或者其他位置。故,实际工程中一般需要基于测温传感器采样点的温度反演缆芯温度,进而计算电缆的实时载流量。由于受安装工艺、条件和实际应用场景的制约,测温传感器的实际安装位置可能与理论或者设计位置不一致,即温度传感器的实际测温点存在较大的不确定性(一般容差至少±1厘米)。如果温度传感器设计位置处温度变化比较剧烈,这种位置的偏移将使得温度的“测量值”与实际“真值”出现巨大偏差,由此导致后续载流量分析、计算模型中不能精确定位具体的采样点,进而导致载流量计算的不确定性和误差。为解决测温传感器位置偏差(不确定)引起的载流量分析、计算的偏差难题,本文首先提出了一种电力电缆温度监测传感器位置鲁棒优化模型,然后提出了一种鲁棒优化的群体增量学习算法,最后给出了计算实例。此外,为提高鲁棒优化的求解速度,还提出了一种基于多项式混沌的响应面模型。

     

    Abstract: To fully utilize a power cable, temperature sensors or probes are commonly used in engineering practice to monitor the instant temperature to increase the ampacity while ensuring that the maximum temperature of the conductor is under the permissible limit. Due to the engineering restriction, directly measuring the conductor temperature of a constructed cable line is not feasible. Instead, a commonly used engineering method involves measuring the temperature at some accessible points and then inverting the conductor temperature and ampacity based on the measured temperature from the sample point. However, due to the inevitable installing error (at least ±1 centimeter), the actual position of the temperature probe in engineering application is not exactly the “designed” position, i.e., the there is an unavoidable uncertainty in the probe position. In such cases, if the temperature in the “designed” position of the temperature probe varies sharply, the measured temperature will deviate significantly, and the subsequent computational results of the temperature fields and ampacity will also incur significantly errors. To address the aforementioned issues on the uncertainty of the installing positions of temperature probes, this paper firstly explores the robust optimization model of the temperature probe location, then proposes a population based incremental learning method to solve the robust optimization problem of the temperature probe location, and finally presents a numerical example to validate the proposed model and method. Also, to increase the solution speed, the paper introduces a polynomial chaos based response surface model.

     

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