计及源荷不确定性的多源电力系统低碳经济优化调度
Low-Carbon Economic Optimal Dispatch of Multi-Source Power Systems Accounting for Source-Load Uncertainty
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摘要: 在能源耦合不断加深、高比例新能源并网的背景下,持续增长的新能源发电占比和负荷的不确定性危害电网的安全稳定运行,解决新能源、径流式小水电机组和负荷预测不确定性问题对多源电力系统的调度至关重要。提出一种考虑阶梯式碳交易机制的多源电力系统模糊优化调度方法,用模糊隶属度参数量化新能源出力、径流与负荷的不确定性对系统经济性和低碳性的作用。以运行成本最小为目标,引入阶梯式碳交易机制,通过碳交易价格对机组出力结构调整,构建了计及源荷不确定性的模糊机会约束模型,探讨了模糊隶属度参数和碳交易价格对系统运行影响,并在Matlab 2020b平台通过CPLEX求解该模型。算例结果表明,所提模型可在一定程度上有效降低系统运行成本和减少碳排放量。Abstract: In the context of deepening energy coupling and the high proportion of new energy sources connected to the grid, it is crucial to solve the problem of new energy and load forecast uncertainty in multi-source power systems. The stepped carbon trading mechanism is taken into account when proposing a fuzzy optimal scheduling method for multi-source power systems. The fuzzy affiliation parameter is used to characterize the impact of load uncertainty and new energy on the system. In order to investigate the effects of various uncertainty factors on the system and introduce the stepped carbon trading mechanism, a fuzzy opportunity constraint model accounting for source-load uncertainty is built. CPLEX on the Matlab 2020b platform solves the model. The example results demonstrate how well the suggested model can lower carbon emissions and operating costs.
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