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基于深度学习的输电线路防冰技改效益量化分析模型

Quantitative Analysis Model of Transmission Line Anti-icing Technical Transformation Benefit Based on Deep Learning

  • 摘要: 为了准确分析输电线路防冰技改项目的效益产出量,保障项目的持续有效推进,开展了基于深度学习的输电线路防冰技改效益量化分析模型的研究。以输电线路机器人防冰技改项目为例,选取电价贡献效益、社会效益、停电缩减效益及故障处理效益作为该项目的效益产出量化分析指标,以该项目的投资数据作为输入,各效益产出量化分析指标作为输出,构建深度置信网络的输电线路防冰技改效益量化分析模型,实现对输电线路机器人防冰技改项目效益产出的量化分析。实验结果表明,当该模型为4层隐含层、128个隐含层内神经元结构时,所提模型训练结果的M值最低,仅为8.98%,具有较高的量化分析精度,并且2015~2021年期间A区域输电线路机器人防冰技改项目的各效益产出量化指标值与历史实际值十分接近,最高误差仅为0.06万元,为各区域的实际输电线路机器人防冰技改项目的持续有效推进提供了科学依据。

     

    Abstract: To accurately analyze the benefit output of transmission line anti-icing technical transformation projects and ensure their continuous and effective implementation, this study proposes a quantitative analysis model based on deep learning. Taking the robot anti-icing technical transformation project of transmission lines as an example, we select benefit output indices including electricity price contribution, social benefits, power outage reduction benefits, and fault handling benefits. Using the project's investment data as input and each benefit output index as output, we construct a quantitative analysis model for transmission line anti-icing technical transformation benefits based on a deep belief network. This model realizes the quantitative analysis of benefit outputs from robot anti-icing technical transformation projects on transmission lines. The experimental results show that when the model has 4 hidden layers and 128 neural structures within each hidden layer, the M value of the proposed model training result is the lowest, only 8.98%, with high quantitative analysis accuracy. Moreover, the quantified indicators of the various benefits output of the A region transmission line robot anti icing technical renovation project from 2015 to 2021 are very close to the historical actual values, with a maximum error of only 0.06 million yuan, which can provide scientific basis for the continuous and effective promotion of actual transmission line robot anti icing technical renovation projects in various regions.

     

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