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基于DBSCAN聚类算法和ARIMA时间序列的气候因素研究

Research on Climate Factors Based on DBSCAN Clustering Algorithm and ARIMA Time Series

  • 摘要: 对气候变化的时间序列特征进行科学分析与精准预测,对于理解气候演变规律和制定应对策略具有至关重要的理论与现实意义。通过DBSCAN算法对全球代表性城市的温度数据进行聚类,并对每类城市进行气温突变检验和最小二乘回归计算,以分析和揭示全球温度的变化趋势;通过构建ARIMA等多种时间序列模型,对全球温度数据进行训练和预测;最后通过Spearman相关性分析,确定影响气温的主要因素并为制定气候变化缓解措施提供科学依据。

     

    Abstract: Conducting scientific analysis and precise prediction of the time series characteristics of climate change is of vital theoretical and practical significance for understanding the laws of climate evolution and formulating response strategies. The temperature data of representative cities around the world are clustered through the DBSCAN algorithm, and temperature mutation tests and least squares regression calculations are conducted for each type of city to analyze and reveal the global temperature change trend. By constructing multiple time series models such as ARIMA, global temperature data is trained and predicted. Finally, through Spearman correlation analysis, the main factors influencing temperature were determined and a scientific basis was provided for formulating climate change mitigation measures.

     

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