基于改进NSGA-II算法的光伏发电系统运行优化调度研究
Research on Optimal Operation and Scheduling of Photovoltaic Power Generation Systems Based on Improved NSGA-II Algorithm
-
摘要: 光伏发电系统出力的不确定性使得出力预测较为困难,存在较大误差,影响了调度决策过程,导致调度结果的弃光率仍比较高。为了缓解这一问题,提出了基于改进NSGA-II算法的光伏发电系统运行优化调度方法。首先利用概率密度分布函数分析光照条件,再根据光伏运行机理,计算出相应的生成电流,进而采用多元线性回归的方法,预测短时光伏发电系统出力情况。采用Couple函数消除误差影响后,利用改进了交叉变异率的NSGA-II算法进行经济性与效率性的多目标寻优,求解出最优的光伏发电系统运行调度方案。实验结果表明,该方法能将弃光率降低至0.62%,调度效果较优,显著提高了系统的运行质量。Abstract: The uncertainty in photovoltaic (PV) power generation output makes forecasting challenging, resulting in significant errors that affect the dispatch decision-making process and lead to a relatively high curtailment rate in dispatch outcomes. To mitigate this issue, this study proposes an optimized operational dispatch method for PV power generation systems based on an improved NSGA-II algorithm. First,the probability density distribution function is employed to analyze irradiation conditions. Then, based on the PV operational mechanism, the corresponding generation current is calculated, and a multiple linear regression method is used to predict short-term PV power generation output. After eliminating error effects with the couple function, an improved NSGA-II algorithm with adjusted crossover and mutation rates is applied to achieve multi-objective optimization for economic and efficiency considerations, yielding the optimal PV power generation system operational dispatch scheme. Experimental results demonstrate that this method can reduce the curtailment rate to 0.62%, achieving superior dispatch performance and significantly improving system operational quality.
下载: