基于Self-Attention-LSTM的短期电力负荷预测
Short-Term Power Load Forecasting Based on Self-Attention-LSTM
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摘要: 为了提高电力负荷预测精度,保障电网稳定运行,对电力负荷预测的方式进行改进,提出一种Self-Attention-LSTM组合模型。首先,对影响电力负荷数据的非线性特征进行分析;然后,搭建Self-Attention-LSTM组合模型,通过引入自注意力机制增强关键时间步特征提取;接着,对模型进行超参数调优;最后,将Self-Attention-LSTM模型、RNN模型和LSTM模型的预测结果进行对比分析。结果表明,Self-Attention-LSTM组合模型预测效果最佳,该模型能更精准捕捉数据特征,提升电力负荷预测的精度。Abstract: In order to improve the accuracy of power load forecasting and ensure the stable operation of the power grid. This article proposes an improved Self-Attention-LSTM combination model for power load forecasting. Firstly, analyze the nonlinear characteristics that affect power load data, and then build a Self-Attention-LSTM combination model to enhance key time step feature extraction by introducing self attention mechanism. Then, optimize the hyperparameters of the model. Finally, the prediction results of the Self-Attention-LSTM model, RNN model, and LSTM model will be compared and analyzed. The results indicate that the Self-Attention-LSTM combination model has the best prediction performance, as it can more accurately capture data features and improve the accuracy of power load forecasting.
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