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基于贝叶斯深度学习的高层建筑低压配电柜故障预测方法研究

Research on Fault Prediction Method for Low-voltage Distribution Cabinets in High-rise Buildings Based on Bayesian Deep Learning

  • 摘要: 随着高层建筑数量的增加,低压配电柜作为电力系统中的关键设备,其故障预测问题逐渐受到重视。针对传统人工巡检故障诊断方法存在的反应迟缓和精准度不足的缺陷,基于贝叶斯深度学习对高层建筑低压配电柜故障预测方法进行了探讨。提出一种基于贝叶斯深度学习的故障预测方法,结合贝叶斯推理与深度学习的优势,有效处理数据不确定性和噪声问题。通过后验更新机制,模型实时更新并提供故障发生的概率,从而提高预测准确性。案例实验表明,该方法在高层建筑电力系统中具有显著优势,能实现提前预警,避免设备故障带来的风险。

     

    Abstract: With the increasing number of high-rise buildings, the fault prediction of low-voltage distribution cabinets, as a key component of the power system, has gained increasing attention. Traditional fault diagnosis methods based on manual inspections suffer from slow response times and insufficient accuracy. This paper conducts an in-depth study on fault prediction methods for low-voltage distribution cabinets in high-rise buildings using Bayesian deep learning. By proposing a fault prediction method based on Bayesian deep learning, this approach combines the strengths of Bayesian inference and deep learning to effectively handle data uncertainty and noise. Through a posterior update mechanism, the model dynamically updates and provides the probability of fault occurrence, thus improving prediction accuracy. Case experiments show that this method demonstrates significant advantages in high-rise building power systems, enabling early warning and reducing the risks associated with equipment failure.

     

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