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考虑配电网“不停电”目标的电网发展决策评估模型及应用

Decision-making Evaluation Model for Power Grid Development Considering the Goal of “No Power Outage” in Distribution Networks and Its Application

  • 摘要: 配电网作为电力系统中与电力用户联系最紧密的部分,担负着将电能从电网向用户分配的重任。提高配电网供电可靠性,实现配电网“不停电”目标是电网企业发展的方向,然而,目前缺乏科学的评估措施来辅助电网选择提高配电网供电可靠性技术措施的发展路线。基于层次分析法构建了配电网网架改造和不停电作业两种提高配电网供电可靠性技术措施的成本与成效评估模型,综合评估两种技术措施的实施成本、减少的计划性改造停电时户数和减少的应急抢修停电时户数,并根据实际案例给予两种技术措施合理的评分。所提模型能为电网企业发展符合各地区配电网具体情况技术措施的科学决策提供理论依据,提升配电网的供电可靠性。

     

    Abstract: As the part of the power system that is most closely connected with power users, the distribution network shoulders the important responsibility of distributing electrical energy from the power grid to users. Improving the power supply reliability of distribution networks and achieving the goal of "no power outage" for distribution networks is the development direction of power grid enterprises. However, at present, there is a lack of scientific assessment measures to assist the power grid in choosing the development route of technical measures to improve the power supply reliability of distribution networks. Based on the analytic hierarchy process, this paper constructs a cost and effectiveness evaluation model for two technical measures to improve the power supply reliability of the distribution network: The transformation of the distribution network framework and the operation without power outage. This model can comprehensively evaluate the implementation costs of the two technical measures, the number of households reduced during planned transformation power outages, and the number of households reduced during emergency repair power outages, and give reasonable scores for the two technical measures according actual cases. This model can provide a theoretical basis for power grid enterprises to make scientific decisions on technical measures that are in line with the specific conditions of distribution networks in various regions, and improve the power supply reliability of distribution networks.

     

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