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110 kV高压电缆线路损坏风险评估

Damage Risk Assessment of 110 kV High-voltage Cable Lines

  • 摘要: 对110 kV架空电力线路在风速变化的影响下的损坏风险进行了评估。基于对测试结构瞬时抗力(强度)概率密度分布与其周围环境中发生的变值暴露的形态及相互位置的分析,提出一种评估电力结构在结构强度变化和暴露值变化条件下可靠性的统计方法。通过多年对风速和线路故障率的观测,确定了风力是造成110 kV线路损坏的原因。研究表明,风力是导致此类设备故障的主要因素之一,约1/5的故障由风力造成。最后对所得结果进行了分析和解释。

     

    Abstract: This paper evaluates the damage risk of 110 kV overhead power lines under the influence of wind speed changes. Based on the analysis of the probability density distribution of the instantaneous resistance (strength) of the test structure and the morphology and mutual position of the variable exposure occurring in its surrounding environment, a statistical method for assessing the reliability of power structures under the conditions of structural strength variation and exposure value variation is proposed. Through years of observation on wind speed and line failure rate, it is determined that wind force is the cause of damage to 110 kV lines. The study shows that wind force is one of the main factors leading to the failure of such equipment, and approximately 1/5 of the failures are caused by wind force. Finally, the obtained results are analyzed and explained.

     

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