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电力优质优价下卡方降维与Logistic的电力系统负荷调度

Under the Condition of High Quality and High Price of Electricity, Chi Square Dimensionality Reduction and Logistic Based Power System Load Dispatch

  • 摘要: 针对现有调度方法机组动态调度量大的问题,提出了电力优质优价下卡方降维与Logistic的电力系统负荷调度方法。利用卡方检验降维负荷特征向量,建立预测模型预测业扩容量对负荷的影响。采用Logistic模型对各业扩负荷分量进行拟合与预测,并将各分量的预测结果进行叠加,得到用户总负荷的预测值。构建最优调度模型,进行基础线性规划并引入整数约束优化。建立协同调度模型优化调度预测数据,计算机组动态调节量,实现动态分区优化调度,确保电力系统稳定运行。实验结果显示,模型预测曲线与实际负荷曲线高度贴合,且机组动态调度量基本维持在0 MW,表明该方法调度效果更优。

     

    Abstract: Aiming at the problem of large dynamic scheduling of units in existing scheduling methods, this paper studies the power system load scheduling method of chi square dimension reduction and Logistic under the condition of high quality and good price of electricity. Using chi square test to reduce the dimensionality of load feature vectors, establish a prediction model to forecast the impact of business expansion capacity on load. Using Logistic model to fit and predict the expansion load components of various industries, and overlaying them to obtain the predicted value of user load. Construct an optimal scheduling model, perform basic linear programming, and introduce integer constraint optimization. Establish a collaborative scheduling model to optimize scheduling prediction data, dynamically adjust variables in the computer group, achieve dynamic partition optimization scheduling, and ensure stable operation of the power system. The experimental results show that the predicted curve of the model is highly consistent with the actual load curve, and the dynamic scheduling of the unit is basically maintained at 0 MW, indicating that the scheduling effect of this method is better.

     

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