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基于改进最小二乘支持向量机的短期电力负荷预测

Short-term Power Load Forecasting Based on Improved LSSVM

  • 摘要: 由于短期电力负荷数据的非线性及高波动性,因此提出一种改进的最小二乘支持向量机(LSSVM)对电力负荷进行短期预测。首先利用粒子群算法(PSO)对LSSVM的参数优化得到最优最小二乘支持向量机,然后对负荷进行预测分析。改进后的支持向量机降低了空间复杂度并提高了计算速度。实证例子证明了该预测方法的有效性。

     

    Abstract: Due to the nonlinear and high fluctuation of short-term load data, an improved least squares support vector machine(LSSVM) is proposed for short-term load forecasting. Firstly, the parameters of LSSVM are optimized by particle swarm optimization(PSO) to obtain the optimal LSSVM, which is used to predict and analyse the future load of power system. The improved support vector machine reduces the space complexity and increases the computing speed. An empirical example proves the validity of this prediction method.

     

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