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电力系统韧性预防能力及提升策略研究

Research on Preventive Ability and Promotion Strategy of Power System Toughness

  • 摘要: 近年来随着极端天气和重大灾害的不断发生,此类概率小、风险大的事件不仅造成了严重的经济损失,还对保障电力系统的稳定运行提出了严峻的考验。根据极端事件发生前后的目的及应对策略不同,可分为极端事件发生前的预防策略、极端事件发生时的响应策略和极端事件发生后的恢复策略。从电力系统韧性的预防能力出发,提出了一种综合评估预防能力优劣的指标,并研究了可有效提升系统预防能力的策略。通过IEEE 39节点进行仿真分析,验证了该评估指标的有效性。从效果而言,硬件投资策略对系统韧性提升较高,但实际应同时考虑投资成本所带来的不确定性。

     

    Abstract: In recent years, with the continuous occurrence of extreme weather and major disasters, such events with low probability and high risk not only caused serious economic losses, but also posed a severe test to ensure the stable operation of the power system. According to different purposes and coping strategies before and after extreme events, it can be divided into prevention strategies before extreme events, response strategies when extreme events occur, and recovery strategies after extreme events. Based on the preventive capability of power system resilience, an index for comprehensive evaluation of preventive capability is proposed, and strategies for effectively improving the system preventive capability are studied on this index. The effectiveness of the evaluation index is verified through the simulation analysis of IEEE 39 nodes. As far as the effect is concerned, the hardware investment strategy can improve the system resilience, but the uncertainty of the investment cost should be considered at the same time.

     

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